The World - Age structure

Population
978-3-14-100890-6 | Page 36 | Ill. 1
The World | Age structure | Population | Karte 36/1

Overview

The age distribution of a country's population can be clearly shown in so-called population pyramids or age pyramids. These show how many people belong to a particular year or age group, differentiated according to men and women. Population pyramids often have a distinctive shape from which future development can be inferred.

Population pyramids according to selected examples

The age structure in Nigeria, the most populous country in Africa, is typical for the continent. The shape of the population pyramid is reminiscent of a fir-tree. About 44 percent of Nigerians are younger than 15 years, which is why the pyramid diverges widely at the base (younger age groups). This shows that the country's population will grow strongly. At a growth rate of 2.5 percent per year, it will double from the current 206 million to 411 million people by 2050. Life expectancy at birth is very low, and the total fertility rate (TFR) of 5.6 is far above the replacement level of 2.1.

The population pyramid of Japan, which roughly corresponds to those of the developed countries in Europe, shows a very different picture. Here, the population will decline by 2050. Similar to China, the young age groups become smaller and smaller. The effects of falling birth rates are compounded by the fact that there are fewer and fewer potential parents. In contrast, the proportion of older people in the total population is increasing. In this context, we often speak of the ageing of a society. This poses great challenges for politics. In Japan, this process is much more advanced than in China. Japan's population pyramid also shows conspicuous cuts, which, similar to Germany, can be traced back to the effects of the Second World War (high number of victims, smaller potential parent generations).

Mexico occupies an intermediate position. The shape of the population pyramid is similar to a beehive. The population will grow from 129 million to about 150 million by 2050. The growth rate is currently 1.4 percent per year but will decline in the coming decades. Life expectancy at birth is high and the fertility rate (TFR), with 2.2, is only just above the replacement level of 2.1. The country's population will therefore no longer grow strongly but will assume a stationary state.

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